Unexpected Surge for Larry Hogan’s Senate Bid in Blue Maryland

Red and blue boxing gloves clashing with smoke.

Former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan’s Senate bid gains unexpected momentum, challenging Democratic stronghold.

At a Glance

Recent AARP poll shows Hogan and Democrat Angela Alsobrooks tied at 46% each
Hogan’s popularity extends beyond party lines, with 55% of independents supporting him
Race contrasts sharply with Maryland’s presidential polling, where Harris leads Trump by 32 points
Hogan’s strategy focuses on positioning himself as an independent voice in the Senate

Unexpected Surge in Blue Maryland

In a surprising turn of events, former Maryland Governor Larry Hogan’s Republican Senate campaign is gaining significant traction in the traditionally Democratic state. The latest poll from the American Association of Retired Persons (AARP) reveals a neck-and-neck race between Hogan and Democratic nominee Angela Alsobrooks, with both candidates capturing 46% support among likely voters. This unexpected development has sent shockwaves through the political landscape, potentially reshaping the battle for Senate control.

The tight race in Maryland stands in stark contrast to the state’s presidential polling, where Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Trump by a whopping 32 points. This discrepancy highlights Hogan’s unique appeal and the potential for a major upset in a state that has been under Democratic control for decades.

Hogan’s Bipartisan Appeal

Hogan’s moderate stance and bipartisan appeal are proving to be key factors in his campaign strategy. The former governor has successfully positioned himself as an independent voice, distancing himself from more polarizing figures within the Republican Party. This approach has resonated with voters across party lines, particularly among independents, where Hogan enjoys a substantial 55% support.

Republican Larry Hogan tied with Democrat Angela Alsobrooks, 46-46% in Maryland senate race – AARP poll

— NewsWire (@NewsWire_US) August 27, 2024

David Axelrod, a prominent Democratic strategist, commented on Hogan’s strong performance, noting his popularity in Maryland and the potential implications for the Senate race. Hogan’s ability to appeal to a diverse voter base has given Republicans hope of flipping a Senate seat that has been under Democratic control since 1987.

Campaign Strategies and Challenges

As the race heats up, both campaigns have begun releasing ads in response to the tight poll results. Hogan’s strategy focuses on positioning himself as an independent voice in the Senate, emphasizing his track record as a moderate Republican governor in a blue state. Alsobrooks, on the other hand, is emphasizing the importance of maintaining Democratic majority in the Senate.

I support @AngelaAlsobrooks for US Senate. She's awesome and will put Marylanders first. Unlike Larry Hogan and his extremist pals. https://t.co/S8hEOrNl5O

— Del. Robbyn Lewis (@RobbynLewis46th) September 13, 2024

Recent allegations about Alsobrooks benefiting from unqualified tax breaks have added another layer of complexity to the race. These accusations, if substantiated, could potentially impact voter perceptions and influence the outcome of this closely watched contest.

Implications for Senate Control

The Maryland Senate race could have significant implications for overall Senate control. With Democrats currently holding a narrow 51-seat majority, every race counts. Despite Hogan’s strong showing, the Cook Political Report still labels the Maryland Senate race as “Likely Democratic,” indicating the uphill battle Hogan faces in this traditionally blue state.

As the campaign progresses, both candidates will need to navigate the complexities of a closely divided electorate. Hogan’s ability to maintain his bipartisan appeal while energizing the Republican base, and Alsobrooks’ efforts to solidify Democratic support and address recent controversies, will likely determine the outcome of this unexpectedly competitive race in blue Maryland.